Event Report

The 2nd Tokyo Global Dialogue

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February 26

Part II Session 2: Southeast and South Asia’s View of the Strategic Transformation

Discussions at the Southeast and South Asia Session focused on the impact of US-China rivalry, the reactions of India and ASEAN, ASEAN centrality, and the expected role of Japan in the region. Several panelists pointed out that neither India nor ASEAN would favor a single superpower and would aim to bolster the multipolar order in the Indo-Pacific region. One panelist called attention to the fact that India is an independent standalone power with autonomous strategic capabilities. It was emphasized that the regional order is to be decided not only by the US and China but also by other powers, including India, ASEAN, and Japan.

As for Japan’s expected role, several panelists stated that Japan is envisaged to play a more active role in creating norms in the region as it enjoys a high level of trust in Southeast Asia. Although South and Southeast Asian countries rely heavily on the Chinese economy, their level of trust in China is low. One panelist recommended that Japan play an active role in order to maintain US power in the region. Conversely, another panelist expressed doubts about expanding Japan’s role due to its military limitations.

Although the phrase “ASEAN centrality” is often used in international meetings, several panelists stated that its definition is difficult to elucidate and comprehend. One panelist suggested that ASEAN centrality refers to creating situations or institutions in which major powers would work with ASEAN, and the East Asia Summit was touted as a potential body for addressing the institutionalization of regional security. Regarding the QUAD, it was pointed out that cooperation with the QUAD may vary among countries in ASEAN. Several panelists expressed deep concerns regarding the recent events in Myanmar, stating that further bloodshed must be avoided.

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